Good article overall (always like to see links that support one's argument) but...why must you repeat the lazy "hot take" of East Coast pundits:
"the Ohio Senate seat that will likely pass from “reasonable moderate” Rob Portman to “shameless Trump sycophant/culture warrior” J.D. Vance"
If Ryan wins the same counties that Brown did (there are about 16 of them out of the 88 in the state), he'll be in good shape.
No one is suggesting the race will be anything but a slog to election day but this glib "2022 will be a disaster for all Democrats" take will just serve to hurt our GOTV efforts.